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ORIGINAL RESEARCH |
From the Departments of Obstetrics and Gynecology, and Coagulation Disorders, Lund University, University Hospital, Malmö, Sweden.
Address reprint requests to: Pelle Lindqvist, MD, Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, University Hospital, Malmö, S-20502 Malmö, Sweden; E-mail: pelle.lindqvist{at}obst.mas.lu.se.
| ABSTRACT |
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METHODS: We constructed a risk score based on major risk factors such as overweight, family history of thrombosis, previous thrombosis, cesarean delivery, and preeclampsia. A cohort of 2384 women with known factor V Leiden status was studied. Using the risk score and its distribution, we explored possible strategies of doing selective testing for factor V Leiden and their consequences.
RESULTS: During the postpartum period, but not antepartum, there is a possibility of identifying women at similar risk as those with a history of thrombosis. Women with a risk score of 2 (4% of women, 0.2% risk of thrombosis) would be screened for factor V Leiden, and those with a resulting risk score of at least 3 (ie, 1.2% risk of thrombosis) would be treated for 6 weeks. Theoretically, for every 83 women treated at this risk level, one thrombotic episode might be prevented.
CONCLUSION: By using a risk score, a subgroup of women who could benefit from selective factor V Leiden screening were identified postpartum.
Thromboembolic complications are a major cause of maternal mortality and morbidity during pregnancy.1,2 The incidence of deep venous thrombosis related to pregnancy (ie, deep venous thrombosis or pulmonary embolism occurring during or up to 6 weeks after delivery) is 13 in 10,000 pregnancies in Sweden, equally distributed between the antepartum and postpartum periods.3 Maternal obesity, family history of thrombophilia, cesarean delivery, and preeclampsia are major risk factors traditionally associated with thrombosis during pregnancy. Each of these factors exposes a woman to approximately a five-fold increased risk of de novo thrombosis during pregnancy.3,4 Activated protein C resistance caused by the Leiden mutation (factor V Leiden or factor V: Q506) has been identified as the most prevalent heritable thrombophilia in whites.57 Factor V Leiden is present in 315% of the general white population and in 1550% of individuals with thrombosis.8 Women heterozygous for factor V Leiden run a five-fold to ten-fold increased risk of thrombosis,4 and homozygous women a ten-fold to 75-fold increased risk.9,10 A general screening for factor V Leiden before starting oral contraceptives or in early pregnancy has been suggested but has not proven effective.4,11 A third category of women at risk are those with previous venous thromboembolic complications; they run a 1015% risk of rethrombosis related to pregnancy.12,13 These women are routinely prescribed anticoagulant prophylaxis during pregnancy and the postpartum period.
Women with a single risk factor of thrombosis might only run a slightly increased risk, but women with multiple risk factors could have a risk similar to those currently prescribed prophylactic anticoagulants. Women at risk of thrombosis, where an additional five-fold increased risk would warrant a change in clinical treatment, might benefit from factor V Leiden testing (selective screening). The value of selective screening has not previously been investigated. With the aim of constructing an improved model for identifying women who might benefit from anticoagulant prophylaxis, we introduced selective screening for factor V Leiden on the basis of a risk score and its distribution.
| MATERIALS AND METHODS |
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Carriership of factor V Leiden was defined as either heterozygous or homozygous. Blood samples were centrifuged and stored in a -70C freezer, and factor V Leiden analyses were done no earlier than 3 months after each woman had delivered. A modified functional activated protein C resistance test using factor V-deficient plasma, Coatest activated protein C resistance-V (Chromogenix; Göteborg, Sweden), was performed as previously described.14 Individuals with a ratio below 1.86 were tested with polymerase chain reaction (PCR)-based analysis for the presence of factor V Leiden.14 Women with a ratio of 1.86 or higher were assumed to be noncarriers, a conclusion supported by the results of parallel analysis with the activated protein C resistance-V assay and PCR analyses. The latter was performed in 415 women, of whom 257 carried the factor V Leiden genotype. All women with a normal factor V genotype had a ratio of 1.67 or higher, and all those with factor V Leiden had a ratio of 1.64 or lower. In three women with a previous history of venous thromboembolism, the presence of factor V Leiden status was already known. Eight women with a history of thrombosis and two women with a solid family history of thrombosis were scheduled for anticoagulant prophylaxis.
Thrombosis was defined as a deep venous thrombosis, pulmonary embolism, or cerebral thromboembolism occurring in pregnancy or during the first 3 months postpartum. A family history of thrombosis was defined as one or more thromboses in a first-degree relative (father, mother, or sibling) occurring before age 60 years. Maternal weight and height were recorded at the first antenatal visit. Overweight was defined as a body mass index (BMI [kg/m2]) exceeding 27.6 (ie, more than one standard deviation above the mean for the series, see Table 1
). Preeclampsia was defined as pregnancy-induced hypertension and proteinuria of 0.3 g/L or higher (Albustix, Boehringer, Mannheim, Germany). Pregnancy-induced hypertension was defined as a resting diastolic blood pressure greater than 90 mm Hg, measured on two consecutive occasions with an interval of at least 5 hours, and developing after 20 weeks gestation in a previously normotensive woman.
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| RESULTS |
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The respective calculations for the postpartum period are 1581 women with a risk score of 0, 627 with a risk score of 1 (ie, equals 627 x 5 = 3135 risk score 0), 146 with a risk score of 2 (ie, equals 146 x 5 x 5 = 3650 risk score 0), 21 with a risk score of 3 (ie, equals 21 x 5 x 5 x 5 = 2625 risk score 0), and nine with a risk score of at least 4 (ie, equals 9 x 5 x 5 x 5 x 5 = 5625 risk score 0) (see Table 3
). These figures might be added (1581 + 3135 + 3650 + 2625 + 5625 = 16,616) to total 16,616. Thus, 16,616 women with a risk score 0 will have the same thrombosis incidence as the 2384 women in our study population (ie, 6.5 per 10,000). The baseline postpartum thrombosis incidence is estimated to be (2384/16,616) x 6.5/10,000 = 0.93 per 10,000.3 Women with postpartum risk scores of 1, 2, and 3, respectively, would thus have a 0.05%, 0.2%, and 1.2% incidence of thrombosis (Table 4
).
The number of months of anticoagulant prophylaxis needed to prevent one thrombotic episode in the antepartum and postpartum periods can be calculated. Presently, in women with a history of thrombosis (ie, at 5% [one in 20] risk of thrombosis), we recommend prophylaxis for 6 months antepartum and 1.5 months postpartum. Thus, in this category 120 months of antepartum prophylaxis are needed to prevent one thrombotic episode (6 months treatment of 20 women). Using similar calculations, the number of months of prophylaxis needed to prevent one thrombotic event in women at risk score 3 can be calculated. In the antepartum period with a thrombosis risk of 1.6% (one in 63), 378 months (63 x 6) of prophylaxis is required to prevent one thrombotic event. In the postpartum period, these women have a risk of 1.2% (one in 83), and so 125 months (83 x 1.5) of prophylaxis would be needed.
| DISCUSSION |
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We constructed a risk score based on major risk factors for thrombosis and have presented the distribution of risk scores with and without factor V Leiden status. Our aim was to explore strategies for selective screening for factor V Leiden to improve the identification of women requiring anticoagulant prophylaxis. The development of a risk score is based on the following assumptions: 1) a multiplicative relationship exists between risk factors and thrombosis risk; 2) some women may run the same risk as those currently prescribed thrombosis prophylaxis; and 3) women at risk of thrombosis, where a five-fold additional risk of thrombosis would change their clinical treatment, might benefit from selective screening for factor V Leiden.
There seems to be a multiplicative relationship between risk factors (ie, the measurements of relative risk can be multiplied to obtain the resulting relative risk).10,15 The assumption of a multiplicative relationship is supported, at least in part, by the risk scores of those who developed thrombosis in our population. A drawback of our study is that multiple relationships have not been shown for all included risk factors. However, because the selected variables are major risk factors, they will presumably help to improve identification of gravidas at high risk even if their relationship is additive. In Sweden, women with earlier thromboembolic complications routinely are prescribed anticoagulants during pregnancy and for the first 6 weeks postpartum. Without anticoagulant treatment, these women would have a roughly 10% incidence of rethrombosis (5% antepartum and 5% postpartum).12,13
In the antepartum period, the subgroup with a risk score of 2, representing 0.9% of the series (22 of 2384), is notable (Table 2
). One-fifth (five of 22) of these women were carriers of factor V Leiden, making them a high-risk group for thrombosis. This subgroup, with a risk score of 3 and comprising 0.2% of the total series, are at 1.6% risk of thrombosis (Table 4
). However, this risk is lower than the risk of those being treated today with anticoagulant therapy (5.0% risk).
In the postpartum period, women with a risk score of 3, comprising 0.3% of the total series, would run a similar risk per month as those currently receiving anticoagulants during pregnancy. A possible strategy would be to test women with an anamnestic risk score of 2 (4% of the total series) for factor V Leiden. The aim would be to treat those with a resulting risk score of at least 3 (1.2% risk of thrombosis) for 6 weeks postpartum. Thus, the 0.9% of the population at this risk level (of whom 0.6% [14 of 2384] might be identified through selective factor V Leiden screening) would continue on prophylaxis for 6 weeks.
A second treatment option would be to differentiate the duration of prophylaxis. The risk of thrombosis is greatest immediately peripartum.16 Therefore, women with two anamnestic risk factors who were screened for factor V Leiden might benefit from a single dose or short-term treatment with anticoagulants. However, it remains to be determined whether this treatment is effective.
Because approximately one-third of all women have a postpartum risk score of at least 1, we do not believe that routine thrombosis prophylaxis is indicated for all heterozygous carriers of factor V Leiden, as suggested elsewhere.17 Absent other risk factors, these women run a five-fold higher risk above the baseline risk (5 x 0.9/10,000); ie, they have a 0.05% incidence of postpartum thrombosis. This means that about 2000 women would need to be treated to protect one woman from thrombosis. Because the effectiveness of thrombosis prophylaxis is not 100%, the number of women requiring prophylaxis would be even larger.
The risk level at which to initiate anticoagulant prophylaxis is open to debate and might be higher or lower than that used in Sweden. However, we believe that our figures of risk distribution, together with the strategy for selective testing, might be used in clinical treatment independent of the chosen risk level.
The information about risk factors, both for anamnestic risks and factor V Leiden, was gathered prospectively; therefore, all recall bias can be excluded. Because women entered prospectively early in the study, we believe the risk of selection bias is low.
An uncertainty in our discussion of strategies is the effectiveness of anticoagulant prophylaxis during pregnancy, which is not well proven. Further studies are urgently needed. Assuming 70% protection with anticoagulant therapy, in order to estimate the efficacy of prophylactic treatment on women predicted to have a 5% risk of developing thrombosis, as measured by a two-sided statistical test, a 5% significance level, and a power of 80%, it would be necessaryaccording to our strategy for selective screening in a randomized trialto include 400 women in each group. Thus, multicenter studies are probably needed.
| Footnotes |
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Received October 16, 2002. Received in revised form March 22, 2002. Accepted April 11, 2002.
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